readings

Readings and Op-ed piece for the wek of Nov. 8th
The Bush Campaign's Final Days: Character Counts The Bush strategy in the last days of the campaign, as it has been since the Republican convention in Philadelphia, emphasizes candidate attributes - leadership, likability, trust, and credibility - more than issues. Source: The NY Times	Laura Bush, Gen. Colin L. Powell, Gov. George W. Bush and Dick Cheney appeared at a rally on Saturdayday in Dearborn, Mich. Mr. Powell, former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, sang the candidate's praises.
Presse Senator Robert C. Byrd of West Virginia joined Vice President Al Gore on the campaign trail on Saturday. Mr. Byrd said Mr. Gore had heard West Virginians' concerns about employment.	The Gore Campaign's Final Days: Voter Mobilization and Social Security The Gore strategy in the last days of the campaign stresses turning out the Democratic base in huge numbers - especially African-Americans and labor union members - and emphasizing Social Security above all other issues. Source: The NY Times
Nader Campaigns to the End Ralph Nader continues to reject claims by some Democrats that he is a spoiler: that "a vote for Nader is a vote for Bush." Rather, Nader sees himself as part of a long tradition of American reform politics going all the way back to Thomas Jefferson. source: The New York Times	Ralph Nader, who campaigned with the singer Patti Smith in Long Beach, Calif., on Friday, has been using his rallies to raise money.
Gov. George W. Bush's selection of Dick Cheney, top, as his running mate brought experience to the ticket but did not seem to help him politically. Vice President Al Gore's performance in the first of three televised presidential debates did not live up to his campaign's expectations.	The Campaign of 2000: What Each Candidate Did Right, and Wrong Even though the votes have not yet been counted, political analysts have already started to assess the candidates' strategies and tactics in the presidential election. Both Bush and Gore may have missed several opportunities to build a substantial lead early in the campaign, resulting in an exceptionally close race. Source: The New York Times
Foreign Policy Differences Between Gore and Bush There has been little attention in the American press to the differences between Bush and Gore on foreign policy issues, especially issues related to the role of the American military abroad. This subject has received considerable attention from European media such as the BBC. source: The BBC	Wax models made ahead of the election day
Democratic New Jersey senate candidate John Corzine	Jon Corzine Sets Record for Self-Financed Campaign Democratic candidate Jon Corzine will spend more than $60 million of his own money on his campaign for the Senate in New Jersey. What activities has Corzine used his money for? How has his self-financed campaign helped Democrats running for the House and Senate in other states? Source: MSNBC
Who Would Serve in the Bush and the Gore Cabinets? In making appointments to Cabinet and other key positions, both Bush and Gore face a similar choice: stick with the tried-and-true (Clinton's officials for Gore, Bush's father's officials for Bush), or appoint a new generation to these important executive positions Source: The washington post	The Supreme Court in the Presidential Election It is likely that the man elected President will appoint at least three justices to the Supreme Court over the next four years. The opportunity to reshape the Court will give the new President influence over the Court for many more years than the next presidential term. Source: The Washington Post
The Federal Bureaucracy in the Presidential Election The presidential candidates differ substantially on issues related to the role of government in regulating the economy. The priorities pursued by federal agencies on antitrust, health and safety, and other regulatory programs would be very different under a Gore Administration than under a Bush Administration. Source: The Washington post	David Broder's Campaign Analysis A staple of campaign coverage since the 1960s has been Washington Post political columnist David Broder's 50-state analysis of the campaign, which traditionally appears on the Sunday before Election Day. Read Broder's projections for the campaigns for President, House, and Senate. Source: The Washington post
Other Stories: Telemarketing as a Campaign Tool source: abcnews Op Ed piece for Nov. 8th Election Projections Sunday, November 5, 2000 Eric L. Davis I am projecting that George W. Bush will win a narrow popular and electoral vote majority, and that the Republicans will maintain control of both the House and the Senate by the narrowest of margins. My final electoral vote projection has Bush at 279 and Gore at 259. In the popular vote, I would give Bush 49 percent, Gore 47 percent, Nader 3 percent, Buchanan and others 1 percent. Here is how I line up the states by region, with the number of electoral votes for each candidate in each region: New England: Gore wins Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont. Gore 35, Bush 0. Mid-Atlantic: Gore wins Delaware, the District of Columbia, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania. Bush wins West Virginia. Gore 87, Bush 5. South: Gore wins Florida and Tennessee. Bush wins Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Texas, and Virginia. Bush 127, Gore 36. Midwest: Gore wins Illinois and Minnesota. Bush wins Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin. Bush 97, Gore 32. Mountain States: Bush wins Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming. Bush 40, Gore 0. Pacific: Gore wins California, Hawaii, and Washington. Bush wins Alaska and Oregon. Gore 69, Bush 10. My final Senate projection has the Republicans with a 52 to 48 majority, down from 54 to 46 currently. Here is my Senate summary: Republicans re-elected (15): Abraham (MI), Ashcroft (MO), Burns (MT), Chafee (RI), DeWine (OH), Frist (TN), Hatch (UT), Hutchison (TX), Jeffords (VT), Kyl (AZ), Lott (MS), Lugar (IN), Santorum (PA), Snowe (ME), Thomas (WY). Republicans who beat Democratic incumbents (1): Allen (VA), defeating Robb. Republicans who win formerly Democratic open seats (1): Ensign (NV) Democrats re-elected (10): Akaka (HI), Bingaman (NM), Byrd (WV), Conrad (ND), Lieberman (CT), Feinstein (CA), Kennedy (MA), Kohl (WI), Miller (GA), Sarbanes (MD). Democrats who hold open seats (3): Clinton (NY), Corzine (NJ), Nelson (NE) Democrats who win formerly Republican open seats (1): Nelson (FL) Democrats who beat Republican incumbents (3): Cantwell (WA), defeating Gorton; Carper (DE), defeating Roth; Dayton (MN), defeating Grams. My final House projection has 219 Republicans, 214 Democrats, and 2 independents (one of whom votes with the Republicans on organizational matters, one of whom votes with the Democrats). This is a gain for the Democrats of 4 seats, not large enough for them to win control of the House. During Wednesday evening's Webcast, I will discuss these projections in light of the actual election results.
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